The last Friday of peak beach season will bring a winner to the Jersey Shore.
There will be a low risk of rip currents, low wave heights and no chance of rain on Friday. Winds will blow from the northeast, veering to the east with temps around 10 mph.
As a result, the shore will be 75 to 80 degrees for anticyclones. This contrasts with the 85 to 90 degrees seen Wednesday and Thursday on an offshore wind.
For surfers, the wave height will be 1 to 2 feet. An east-southeast swell with a wave period of about 10 seconds will be present. The waves won’t look clear, but long stretches will give solid, low waves to surf.
TS Danielle opens the hurricane season, here are the names of the storms of 2022
Click below to see Colorado State University’s hurricane season forecast
Colorado State University updated its forecast for the 2022 hurricane season, showing a drop in expected final totals.
18 named storms, tropical storms or hurricanes are now expanded. That’s still above the 1991-2020 average of 14.4 and a move down from the original 19 forecast released on April 7.
Of those 18, eight appear to be hurricanes, with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or more. That’s one less than the original outlook.
Half of them, four are expected to be major, category three, four or five hurricanes. This is the same as the original forecast.
Colorado State also breaks down the season based on the risk of landing from a tropical system. New Jersey has a 33% chance of a tropical storm being within 50 miles of land, with a 10% chance of a hurricane.
The initial outlook was slightly higher, at 35% and 11%, respectively.
The main reason for the downward shift in seasonal projections is that sea surface temperatures in the subtropical Atlantic Ocean, approximately 20 to 35 degrees north latitude (North Carolina is about 35 degrees north), are cooler than average.
Still, the warm tropical waters and lack of wind shift with height, wind shear, favor a more active season than usual.
Alex – used
Alex was once known as Agatha as she strengthened in the Pacific hurricane basin. It then crossed Central America and entered the Gulf of Mexico. However, it was only east of Florida that it became the first named tropical storm of the year, passing near Bermuda on June 5-6.
Bonnie – used
Bonnie formed near the east coast of Panama on July 1. Bonnie expanded southward in an unusual way for a tropical system.
Danielle – Ongoing
After a nearly two-month hiatus, hurricane season revived with the formation of Tropical Storm Danielle on September 1. .
Martin replaces Hurricane Matthew, which was retired by WMO from the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season.
When is the peak of Atlantic hurricane season?
Owen replaces Hurricane Otto, which was retired by the WMO following the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season.
Here is the 2022 list in one graphic
If we pass Walter, here is the additional list of storm names
AccuWeather also predicts an above-average hurricane season, they told us
Expect another above average tropical season in the Atlantic Ocean and New Jersey will have to watch closely. 16 to 20 tropical storms, including 6 to 8 hurricanes and 3 to 5 major hurricanes are expected. Meteorologist Joe Martucci for a long time AccuWeather tropical expert Dan Kottlowski on the podcast to talk about it, growing up in rural Indiana and his map splits from the Garden State.
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